This Year Cotton Yields Are Bad &Nbsp; Be Careful Next Year To Buy Cotton.

China's agricultural products market has been around for years. Last year's "Ginger army" and "garlic you are ruthless" are no longer seen this year. But next year, the situation is not clear.

The same is true of the cotton market, after experiencing a rise in cotton prices.

In Dezhou, Shandong, 1 million 600 thousand cotton plants were planted in 2011, an increase of about 3% over the previous year.

Affected by the weather, the quality and yield of seed cotton in Dezhou decreased significantly this year, with an average yield of about 235 kg of seed cotton and 25 kg less than that of the normal year.

Since the launch of new cotton in September, cotton prices have been on the low side, ranging from 7.40 yuan / kg to 8.80 yuan / kg, with an average selling price of around 7.60 yuan / kg.

The cotton production cycle is long, the links are many, and the working environment is difficult. With the continuous increase of wages, the cost of cotton production and labor increases year by year.

According to statistics, in 2011, the direct cost of cotton planting, seed, fertilizer, pesticide and other direct costs (excluding labor) reached 480 yuan per mu in Dezhou, and the average land cost was 500 yuan / mu. The average number of people picking up cotton rose from 1 yuan per kilogram last year to 1.60 yuan / kg this year, with an average of 380 yuan per mu.

The output value of Mu is 235 yuan, and the average selling price is 7.60 yuan / kg. The output value of Mu is 1786 yuan.

If farmers calculate their own land and pick up their own cotton, excluding labor costs, the cost of deducting the true planting cost is 480 yuan per mu, and the income per mu is 1306 yuan.

If the rent is calculated according to the tenancy and hiring of cotton, the cost per mu has reached 1360 yuan, and the income is only 426 yuan.

That is to say, the annual yield of 20 mu cotton is less than 10 thousand yuan.

Now the grain has basically been mechanized from planting to collecting, and the work has been greatly reduced, and the time for migrant workers to go out to work has reached a minimum income of one thousand or two thousand yuan a month, reaching three thousand or four thousand yuan.

Nowadays, farmers, especially young people, are increasingly reluctant to grow cotton.

According to the survey, because of the low cotton prices this year, many cotton growers say they will not grow or grow less cotton next year. The cotton area in Dezhou will be reduced by more than 20% in 2012.

At present, the low cotton price is conducive to reducing the cost of cotton spinning enterprises. However, the low cotton price is not conducive to mobilizing cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton.

If this situation continues, it will not be a good thing for cotton farmers or textile enterprises.