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This Week'S Three Big Conjectures Of The Stock Market: The First Target, The 10 Day Moving Average?

2011/12/19 11:13:00 16

Three Major Assumptions In The Stock Market

The general trend is conjecture:


Rebounded on schedule


This week's first target 10 day moving average?


Implementation concept: 85%


Specific reasons: last Friday approached

closing line

There will be rumors in the market that Huijin will have a big start again this week.

Increase Holdings

In the four major circulation stocks, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock index rose linearly, closing both rose more than 2%, and the gem index soared by 4.32%.

rebound

The first target is the 10 day moving average.


Coping strategy: Huijin holdings, if there is a follow-up good policy, does not rule out the market will go out of the rally in the end of October, of which gem small stocks will have a better opportunity.


The main force conjecture:


Do you have a long way to borrow money?


Realization

probability

80%


Specific reasons: before 14 last Friday, in addition to the gem index performance is good, the market is still weak shocks, not much improvement, in the market that day stock index futures delivery date, the stock index will be short pressed, the news of Huijin holdings, the use of this news, raise the bank, real estate and other weight plate, stock index futures prices soaring, hit the warehouse empty.

Monitoring data show that on the same day, the main funds of Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities showed a net inflow state, of which the main capital of Shanghai stock market was inflow of 1 billion 247 million yuan, and the capital outflow of Shenzhen stock market was 115 million yuan.


Coping strategy: after the main turnover, the market has now operating opportunities, focusing on the good policy of the industry sector.


Hot spot conjecture:


Environmental protection?


Implementation probability: 65%


Concrete reasons: the National Environmental Protection Conference will be held on Tuesday, which is different from the past. During this period, provincial governors, ministers and leaders of central enterprises will sign the responsibility document for energy conservation and emission reduction targets.

Previously, because of the good expectations of the environmental protection conference, the leading stocks of the environmental protection sector previewed a wave of about 50% rise in late October and early November. At present, the environmental protection conference is convening soon, or the second wave is pulled up.

Energy conservation and environmental protection as the Seventh National Congress

strategy

First, good policies continue.


Coping strategies: the environmental protection plate stocks have brewed opportunities after the sharp fall of last Wednesday, and they rose sharply last week after five noon, and this week is expected to continue.

It can be concerned about the leading environmental protection (300137), the CLP environmental protection (300172), and the spotlight Technology (300203).


 
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